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	<title>A New Way Forward &#187; Blog</title>
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		<title>Congress Continues to Ignore Public Opinion on Afghanistan</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/15/congress-continues-to-ignore-public-opinion-on-afghanistan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/15/congress-continues-to-ignore-public-opinion-on-afghanistan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 16:56:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/?p=2872</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every recent opinion poll confirms declining public support for the war. A March Washington Post poll finds that 60% of respondents believe the war has not been worth the costs. 72% say they oppose the war and 77% want to &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/15/congress-continues-to-ignore-public-opinion-on-afghanistan/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.9006489682942629">Every recent opinion poll confirms declining public support for the war. A March <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_031012.html">Washington Post poll</a> finds that 60% of respondents believe the war has not been worth the costs. 72% say they oppose the war and 77% want to withdraw all U.S. troops in 2014 or earlier, according to a March <a href="http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/03/29/rel3f.pdf">CNN poll</a>. An April poll from The Christian Science Monitor finds that 63% of respondents do not support the recently announced <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Latest-News-Wires/2012/0502/US-Afghan-deal-has-plenty-of-loopholes">US-Afghan Strategic Agreement</a>, which commits the U.S. to ten years of aid and military support for Afghanistan.</p>
<p>The downward trend shows that Americans are responding to mounting evidence that the U.S. strategy in Afghanistan just isn’t working. Each year since 2001 the U.S. has spent an average of $45 billion on the Afghanistan war. Troop levels peaked at about 101,000 in 2010; today some 90,000 U.S. troops are still deployed in Afghanistan. U.S. casualties number <a href="http://icasualties.org/OEF/index.aspx">close to 2,000</a>, including 378 deaths since the death of Osama bin Laden in May 2011.</p>
<p>With the primary goal &#8211; dismantling al-Qaeda &#8211; accomplished, we continue nation-building in a country where there is no basic security. IED attacks <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012-01-25/IEDs-afghanistan/52795302/1">set a record high</a> in 2011. <a href="http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/08/afghan-forces-in-lead-but-not-in-control/">Questions about the capability</a> of the Afghan Security Forces persist. Billions of dollars invested in aid projects are abandoned because the Afghan government cannot afford to pay for them.</p>
<p>It has become clear, at least to the American public, that we are wasting our resources.  But still, some members of Congress persist in advocating for sustaining, or even expanding, our role in Afghanistan. Rep. Buck McKeon (R-CA), for example, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/01/buck-mckeon-afghanistan-security_n_1314959.html">believes</a> “bringing these 20,000 troops home this year is too soon,” and has called for <a href="http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/03/02/mckeons-afghanistan-surge/">U.S. troops to replace</a> local security forces who guard U.S. facilities in Afghanistan. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-NC), who <a href="http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/04/16/top_senator_pakistan_remains_major_obstacle_to_peace_in_afghanistan">supports</a> keeping 20,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan past 2014, <a href="http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Graham-troops-Afghanistan-withdrawal/2012/03/04/id/431333">insists</a> that “We have made progress, and we do have strong allies within Afghanistan</p>
<p>Congress’ latest effort to prolong the war is the 2013 Department of Defense authorization bill, recently passed by the House Armed Services Committee. The <a href="http://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20120514/CPRT-112-HPRT-RU00-HR4310tas.pdf">HASC bill</a> includes a provision to maintain 68,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan through 2014, and “maintain a credible troop presence after December 31, 2014, sufficient to conduct counter-terrorism and train and advise the Afghan National Security Forces.” This plan would cost billions of dollars, not to mention the lives of U.S. soldiers.</p>
<p>Not all members of Congress are tied to a losing strategy in Afghanistan. Some, like <a href="http://democrats.armedservices.house.gov/index.cfm/press-releases?ContentRecord_id=8e4c8cc6-9b03-4096-aba5-d337399159f1">Rep. Adam Smith</a> (D-WA) and <a href="http://jones.house.gov/press-release/bipartisan-house-members-send-letter-president-eve-nato-meeting-afghanistan">Rep. Walter Jones</a> (R-NC) have actively worked for an accelerated drawdown and greater oversight of U.S. spending in Afghanistan. Thus far these efforts have failed, and the gap between a public that wants to end the war and policymakers determined to sustain it continues. </span></p>
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		<title>Time for a New Strategy in Afghanistan</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/11/time-for-a-new-strategy-in-afghanistan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/11/time-for-a-new-strategy-in-afghanistan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2012 13:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/?p=2868</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pentagon officials and pundits enjoy telling us that if we stay the course we can still win the war in Afghanistan. This argument directly contradicts the facts. Ten years and over $500 billion later, the U.S. strategy in Afghanistan isn’t &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/11/time-for-a-new-strategy-in-afghanistan/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.4478350034914911">Pentagon officials and pundits enjoy telling us that if we stay the course we can still win the war in Afghanistan. This argument directly contradicts the facts. Ten years and over $500 billion later, the U.S. strategy in Afghanistan isn’t working. This strategy doesn’t require more patience &#8211; or more blood and treasure. It needs to be changed.</p>
<p>However, Defense Department officials are sticking to the company line. Every year DOD reports to Congress on progress in Afghanistan. This year’s report, released last week, was largely overlooked, partly because of media flurry surrounding the US-Afghan Strategic Agreement, and partly because there’s really no news here &#8211; the new report sounds very similar to previous reports.</p>
<p>“We continue to build on that progress [made since last year’s report]. Challenges remain.” <a href="http://www.defense.gov/transcripts/transcript.aspx?transcriptid=5023">said</a> Assistant Secretary of Defense Captain John Kirby. In other words, DOD says that the strategy is working &#8211; if we keep funding the war, we just might win.</p>
<p>Defense officials are backed up by analysts who <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/forum/story/2012-04-25/afghanistan-war-troops-taliban/54538482/1">argue that</a> “with patience on all sides, we can still reach a tolerable outcome.” Of course, supporters of extending the war rarely mention that their policy recommendations will cost billions of dollars and the lives of U.S. soldiers.</p>
<p>The current strategy isn’t just expensive; it’s also ineffective. IED attacks <a href="http://www.armytimes.com/news/2012/01/gannett-ied-attacks-in-afghanistan-set-record-012512/">set a record high</a> last year. <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/citing-security-us-abandons-consulate-site-in-afghanistan/2012/05/05/gIQA9ZkD4T_story.html?tid=pm_pop">Millions of dollars</a> are being wasted on unsustainable reconstruction projects. Afghan soldiers <a href="http://www.voanews.com/english/news/NATO-Soldier-Killed-by-Attacker-in-Afghan-Army-Uniform-150341275.html">are turning on</a> NATO counterparts. Most disturbingly, the <a href="http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2012/02/8904030">real news</a> about the Afghanistan war doesn’t make it back to the American public.</p>
<p>Despite efforts to hide the fact that there’s been no real progress, Americans know a failed strategy when they see one. The <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Global-News/2012/0508/Majority-of-Americans-reject-new-US-Afghan-security-pact-poll">latest public opinion poll </a>shows that two-thirds of respondents disapprove of the US-Afghan Strategic Agreement, which commits billions of aid dollars to Afghanistan and allows for a U.S. military presence in Afghanistan for the next ten years.</p>
<p>Ten years is long enough. Rather than wasting another $500 billion on an unnecessary war, we should be investing in programs that really matter. </span></p>
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		<title>Afghanistan Weekly Reader: $80 Million Wasted on Poorly Planned Project</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/10/afghanistan-weekly-reader-80-million-wasted-on-poorly-planned-project/</link>
		<comments>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/10/afghanistan-weekly-reader-80-million-wasted-on-poorly-planned-project/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 May 2012 12:17:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/10/afghanistan-weekly-reader-80-million-wasted-on-poorly-planned-project/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week The Washington Post reported on another multi-million dollar boondoggle in U.S. aid to Afghanistan. The $80 million project, envisioned as the center of U.S. diplomatic efforts in Afghanistan, was cancelled due to significant security concerns that had been &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/10/afghanistan-weekly-reader-80-million-wasted-on-poorly-planned-project/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This week <em>The Washington Post</em> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/citing-security-us-abandons-consulate-site-in-afghanistan/2012/05/05/gIQA9ZkD4T_story.html" target="_blank">reported </a>on another multi-million dollar boondoggle in U.S. aid to Afghanistan. The $80 million project, envisioned as the center of U.S. diplomatic efforts in Afghanistan, was cancelled due to significant security concerns that had been overlooked as officials pushed the project through.</p>
<p>This comes as no surprise; it’s just one of many failed reconstruction projects that have cost U.S. taxpayers millions. And this reckless spending seems likely to continue. The House of Representatives is on track to fully fund the Pentagon’s war budget request of $90 billion for 2012. Included in that request is billions for the Afghan security forces, ongoing U.S. military operations, and <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/national-security/senators-question-military-spending-on-afghanistan-infrastructure/2011/07/05/gHQASzZnzH_story.html" target="_blank">questionable Afghanistan infrastructure projects</a>.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">ARTICLES</span></strong><br />
<strong>5/9/12<br />
<a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gbSwcx5wanTZSrJUfVpRXw_uAmWg">Poll: Support for Afghan war at new low</a><br />
AP by Anne Gearan</strong><br />
Support for the war in Afghanistan has reached a new low, with only 27 percent of Americans saying they back the effort and about half of those who oppose the war saying the continued presence of American troops in Afghanistan is doing more harm than good.</p>
<p><strong>5/5/12<br />
<a href="http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2012/05/obama-end-afghanistan-war-rebuild-us/1#.T6rU659YvSB">Obama: End Afghanistan war, rebuild USA</a><br />
USA Today by David Jackson</strong><br />
Pledging to have U.S. troops out of Afghanistan by the end of 2014, President Obama said Saturday that money used to finance that long war can help rebuild the USA and pay down its debt.</p>
<p><strong>5/7/12<br />
<a href="http://www.govexec.com/defense/2012/05/afghanistan-commander-my-sound-bite-were-being-successful/55613/?oref=river">Afghanistan commander: &#8216;My sound bite is, we&#8217;re being successful&#8217;</a><br />
National Journal by Michael Hirsh</strong><br />
Gen. John Allen, commander of U.S. and international forces in Afghanistan, on Monday rejected statements made by the heads of the House and Senate Intelligence committees that the Taliban has grown stronger since President Obama’s surge of additional U.S. troops, and he suggested that “sound bites” from Washington were not helping.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">OPINION</span></strong><br />
<strong>5/3/12<br />
<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/leaving-yet-staying-in-afghanistan/2012/05/03/gIQADCB1zT_story.html?wprss=rss_todays-opeds">Why are we in Afghanistan for the long haul?</a><br />
Washington Post by Eugene Robinson</strong><br />
The United States has agreed to support Afghanistan’s social and economic development and its security institutions through 2024. Does this sound like nation-building to you? Because that’s what it sounds like to me.</p>
<p><strong>5/2/12<br />
<a href="http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2012/05/02/haass-more-questions-than-answers-on-afghanistan/">More questions than answers on Afghanistan</a><br />
CNN by Richard Haass</strong><br />
Past sacrifice is a poor justification for continued sacrifice unless it is warranted. The truth is that while the United Sates still has interests in Afghanistan, none of them, other than opposing al-Qaeda, rises to the level of vital. And this vital interest can be addressed with a modest commitment of troops and dollars.</p>
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		<title>Afghanistan Weekly Reader: Agreement Allows 10-Year Extension of US Presence in Afghanistan</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/04/afghanistan-weekly-reader-agreement-allows-10-year-extension-of-us-presence-in-afghanistan/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 04 May 2012 12:04:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[President Obama made headlines this week with a surprise trip to Kabul to sign the US-Afghanistan Strategic Partnership Agreement. The agreement made explicit what has been understood all along: the US commitment to Afghanistan will continue after 2014. What the agreement fails &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/05/04/afghanistan-weekly-reader-agreement-allows-10-year-extension-of-us-presence-in-afghanistan/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>President Obama made headlines this week with a surprise <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/05/01/obama-arrives-in-afghanistan/" target="_blank">trip to Kabul</a> to sign the US-Afghanistan Strategic Partnership Agreement. The agreement made explicit what has been understood all along: the US commitment to Afghanistan will continue after 2014. What the agreement fails to do, however, is define what that commitment will look like. In particular, while restating that the US does not seek permanent bases in Afghanistan, the agreement does not specify how many US troops will stay to advise and assist the Afghan security forces after 2014. The US has already accomplished its strategic goals in Afghanistan. Leaving troops there is unnecessary, a waste of taxpayer dollars. The US public knows this; <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2012/05/01/opinion/ellison-afghanistan/index.html" target="_blank">some</a> <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/story/2012-05-01/Afghanistan-war-Jeff-Merkley/54672092/1" target="_blank">members</a> of Congress do too. Other policymakers should take note.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">From ASG</span></strong><br />
<strong>4/30/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/30/usaid-spends-400-million-in-afghanistan-%E2%80%9Cdespite-uncertain-results%E2%80%9D/">USAID Spent $400 Million In Afghanistan “Despite Uncertain Results”</a></strong><br />
<strong>Afghanistan Study Group by Mary Kaszynski</strong><br />
When a boondoggle like this is allowed to continue unchecked, it makes us wonder about other Afghanistan reconstruction projects. The Local Governance and Community Development program accounted for about one-third of total amount – $1.1 billion – that USAID has spent on Afghanistan reconstruction. What happened to the other $700 million? Were other aid projects just as ineffective as this one?</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">ARTICLES</span></strong><br />
<strong>5/3/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/05/03/us-afghanistan-10-year-security-compact-has-loopholes-for-both-nations/#ixzz1tpmgQp1Q">US-Afghanistan 10-year security compact has loopholes for both nations</a></strong><br />
<strong>Fox News</strong><br />
The 10-year security agreement signed this week by President Obama and Afghan President Hamid Karzai is filled with fuzzy language and loopholes &#8212; and stands as more of a guide than a contract for the U.S.-Afghan relationship in the post-war years.</p>
<p><strong>5/3/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.kansascity.com/2012/05/02/3588442/in-afghanistan-obama-says-wars.html#storylink=cpy">In Afghanistan, Obama says wars of 9/11 nearing an end</a></strong><br />
<strong>McClatchy Newspapers</strong><br />
President Barack Obama told Americans Tuesday that after a decade of post-September 11 wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, &#8220;we can see the light of a new day&#8221; &#8211; hours after signing an agreement that extended the U.S. commitment to Afghanistan.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">OPINION</span></strong><br />
<strong>5/3/12<br />
<a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/story/2012-05-01/Afghanistan-war-Jeff-Merkley/54672092/1">Rebuild America, not Afghanistan</a><br />
USA Today by Sen. Jeff Merkley</strong><br />
There is no question that al-Qaeda is dangerous and that we need to stay on the offensive. That, after all, was the mission that brought us to Afghanistan in the first place. But trying to craft a modern nation-state in Afghanistan does not further that mission. It&#8217;s time to bring our troops home.</p>
<p><strong>4/30/12<br />
<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/01/opinion/finish-off-al-qaeda-stop-trying-to-fix-afghanistan.html">Finish Off Al Qaeda. Stop Trying to Fix Afghanistan</a><br />
The New York Time by Eric Greitens</strong><br />
Because many Qaeda fighters were based and sheltered in Afghanistan in 2001, some Americans argued that to make victory permanent we had to not just oust the Taliban government, but also build a democracy, a modern economy and an effective national security apparatus for Afghanistan. It was like arguing that to put out a forest fire, we had to pave the forest.</p>
<p><strong>5/1/12<br />
<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2012/05/01/opinion/ellison-afghanistan/index.html">Get U.S. troops out of Afghanistan</a><br />
CNN by Rep. Keith Ellison</strong><br />
But with our core mission of decimating al Qaeda in Afghanistan accomplished, is the continuing military presence until 2014 worth the cost? More than 1,900 Americans have died in Afghanistan, and more than 15,000 have been wounded&#8230;Instead of spending billions on a war that is not making us safer, we could better advance U.S. national security by providing greater support to people in Middle Eastern countries fighting for freedom and democracy.</p>
<p><strong>5/1/12<br />
<a href="http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/obama-visits-afghanistan-perpetuates-misguided-policy/">Obama Visits Afghanistan, Perpetuates Misguided Policy</a><br />
The Cato Institute by Chris Preble</strong><br />
A majority of Americans want all U.S. troops out of Afghanistan within a year, and a large-scale military presence isn’t needed to continue to hunt al Qaeda. The organization is a shadow of its former self, and has shifted its operations and tactics to many other places. We are still spending tens of billions of dollars in a desperate nation-building mission; this money could be spent much more effectively elsewhere, including here in the United States.</p>
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		<title>USAID spent $400 million in Afghanistan “despite uncertain results”</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/30/usaid-spends-400-million-in-afghanistan-%e2%80%9cdespite-uncertain-results%e2%80%9d/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Apr 2012 17:59:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/?p=2858</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The title of this audit report, the latest from the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, says it all: USAID spent almost $400 million on an Afghanistan reconstruction project despite uncertain results. The Local Governance and Community Development program, first &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/30/usaid-spends-400-million-in-afghanistan-%e2%80%9cdespite-uncertain-results%e2%80%9d/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 490px"><br />
<img class=" " src="http://img55.imageshack.us/img55/3620/20080615adf8239682170loos6.jpg" alt="" width="480" height="312" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Australian troops in Oruzgan Province, Afghanistan. Source: militaryphotos.net</p></div>
<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.2145127272233367">The title of <a href="http://www.sigar.mil/pdf/audits/2012-04-25audit-12-08.pdf">this audit report</a>, the latest from the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, says it all: USAID spent almost $400 million on an Afghanistan reconstruction project despite uncertain results.</span></p>
<p>The Local Governance and Community Development program, first approved in 2006,<br />
was intended to help the Afghan government reach out into remote districts, encourage local communities to participate in development projects, and “create incentives for stability in critical border provinces.”</p>
<p>The program was supposed to last for three years and had a budget of no more than $150 million. However, USAID extended the program for two years past the deadline, and the total costs came close to $400 million &#8211; more than two and a half times the original amount.</p>
<p>The Local Governance and Community Development program wasn’t extended because it was an astonishing success. In fact, assessments by USAID and others indicated that the program produced mixed results. And an independent evaluation concluded that “although the project had pockets of success, it had not met its overarching goal of extending the legitimacy of the Afghan government.”</p>
<p>The program was also beset by delays and cost increases. SIGAR found that less than half of the amounts awarded to contractors by USAID went to reconstruction projects; the rest was eaten up by overhead costs.</p>
<p>Despite these concerns, and despite difficulty USAID encountered in determining if the program was effective or not, USAID continued to extend the program and increase its budget.</p>
<p>When a boondoggle like this is allowed to continue unchecked, it makes us wonder about other Afghanistan reconstruction projects. The Local Governance and Community Development program accounted for about one-third of total amount &#8211; $1.1 billion &#8211; that USAID has spent on Afghanistan reconstruction. What happened to the other $700 million? Were other aid projects just as ineffective as this one?</p>
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		<title>Afghanistan Weekly Reader: Afghanistan Price Tag for U.S.: Over $550 Billion Since 2001</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/27/afghanistan-weekly-reader-afghanistan-price-tag-for-u-s-over-550-billion-since-2001/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 14:10:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Policymakers are in the middle of intense debates over next year’s budget. Topics of contention include $100 million for a missile defense system on the East coast and $6 billion to avoid a hike in student loan interest rates. However, &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/27/afghanistan-weekly-reader-afghanistan-price-tag-for-u-s-over-550-billion-since-2001/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Policymakers are in the middle of intense debates over next year’s budget. Topics of contention include <a href="http://www.rollcall.com/news/michael-turner-proposed-missile-defense-cuts-reflect-obama-naivete-214113-1.html" target="_blank">$100 million</a> for a missile defense system on the East coast and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/26/us/politics/two-parties-find-a-way-to-agree-and-disagree-on-student-loan-rates.html" target="_blank">$6 billion</a> to avoid a hike in student loan interest rates. However, no one in Washington is questioning the amount spent on the Afghanistan war. In 2013 alone plan to spend over $90 billion. The total price tag since 2001: over $550 billion. Ending the war in Afghanistan would free up billions that could be spent on more important priorities. What are our elected officials waiting for?</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">From ASG</span></strong><br />
<strong>4/23/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/23/how-much-will-the-strategic-pact-cost-us-taxpayers/">How Much Will the Strategic Pact Cost US Taxpayers? </a></strong><br />
<strong>Afghanistan Study Group by Mary Kaszynski</strong><br />
The end of the US combat mission does not mean the end of our relationship with Afghanistan. However, we need a new roadmap for engagement—not just a downsized version of the current strategy, but a strategy that is effective, efficient, and sustainable.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">ARTICLES</span><br />
4/26/12<br />
<a href="http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/dotmil/2012/04/26/thousands-of-us-troops-likely-in-afghanistan-beyond-2014-withdrawal-date">Thousands of US Troops Likely in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 Withdrawal Date</a><br />
US News by John Bennett</strong><br />
A former NATO commander this week offered a snapshot into the Pentagon&#8217;s thinking about just what kinds of troops and hardware will be kept in Afghanistan, offering a window into how many American boots will still be on the ground after a formal withdrawal.</p>
<p><strong>4/23/12<br />
<a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/23/republican-congressman-asked-to-stay-out-of-afghanistan/">Clinton, Panetta ask congressman to stay out of Afghanistan</a><br />
CNN</strong><br />
A top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs committee was asked by the Secretary of State and Secretary of Defense not to go to Afghanistan because President Hamid Karzai objected to the visit.</p>
<p><strong>4/26/12<br />
<a href="http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/26/congressman-calls-afghan-president-corrupt-prima-donna/">Congressman calls Afghan president ‘corrupt prima donna’</a><br />
CNN</strong><br />
A U.S. congressman barred from visiting Afghanistan over the weekend minced no words when characterizing the incident. Afghan president Hamid Karzai is a &#8220;corrupt prima donna,&#8221; House Foreign Affairs Committee member Dana Rohrabacher of California said in an interview Wednesday</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">OPINION</span><br />
</strong><strong> 4/25/12<br />
</strong><strong><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2012/04/25/are-we-deluding-ourselves-about-afghanistan/">Are we deluding ourselves about Afghanistan?</a></strong><br />
<strong> Reuters by Daniel Davis</strong><br />
After more than a decade of warfare, we have to look ourselves in the mirror and admit that we have lost the battle for the hearts and minds of the Afghan people.<br />
Still, even at this 11th hour there are ways the mission could be salvaged. There is, for example, broad consensus among a number of key constituencies for a cease-fire. The best chance for a viable and lasting end to the war could be conducted in the absence of fighting, not during it.</p>
<p><strong>4/26/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/insurmountable-obstacles-afghanistan-6853?page=1">Insurmountable Obstacles in Afghanistan</a><br />
The National Interest by James Joyner</strong><br />
While coalition forces have indeed made tremendous strides on the security front, the all-important political and economic pictures are, if anything, less encouraging than they were before the surge began.<br />
<a href="”http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/afghanistan-reality-check-max-boot-6824"></a></p>
<p><strong>4/19/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/afghanistan-reality-check-max-boot-6824">An Afghanistan Reality Check for Max Boot</a><br />
The National Interest Editorial Board</strong><br />
The realities are these: A pro-Western government may survive in Kabul, but it will not maintain strong influence over the Taliban strongholds of the south and east. Western influence will wane severely in Afghanistan irrespective of America’s military strategy there. Influence in the region will flow to neighboring states—Pakistan, India and Iran—with much more powerful interests there than the United States has.</p>
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		<title>How much will the strategic pact cost US taxpayers?</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/23/how-much-will-the-strategic-pact-cost-us-taxpayers/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Apr 2012 17:46:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/?p=2850</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The US and Afghanistan have completed an outline of the US commitment to Afghanistan for the next ten years, the New York Times reports. The specifics haven’t been worked out yet, but if we continue down the same path, the &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/23/how-much-will-the-strategic-pact-cost-us-taxpayers/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.6049036527983844"><img class="alignleft" src="http://www.defense.gov/imgHandler.ashx?h=350&amp;w=0&amp;img=/dodcmsshare/photoessay/2012-04/hires_120412-A-8536E-438a.jpg" alt="" width="221" height="147" /></span></p>
<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.6049036527983844">The US and Afghanistan have completed an outline of the US commitment to Afghanistan for the next ten years, the <em>New York Times</em> <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/23/world/asia/us-and-afghanistan-reach-partnership-agreement.html">reports</a>. The specifics haven’t been worked out yet, but if we continue down the same path, the deal could end up costing US taxpayers billions of dollars.</span></p>
<p>Funding for the Afghan security forces alone promises to be costly. The US is reportedly considering a commitment of anywhere from <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/11/world/asia/afghan-force-will-be-cut-as-nato-ends-mission-in-2014.html">$2.3</a> billion to <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-allies-and-afghan-government-ready-plan-for-end-of-combat-operations-in-2014/2012/04/18/gIQAX9bZQT_story.html">$4.1</a> billion per year, for a ten year total of $20 billion to $40 billion. Add to that the cost of maintaining US advisors for the Afghan.s The Congressional Budget Office <a href="http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/01-31-2012_Outlook.pdf">estimates</a> that going down to 45,000 troops by 2015 will bring war costs close to $500 billion through 2022.</p>
<p>Pouring billions of dollars into an unpopular war just doesn’t make sense. The US is about to make a multi-billion dollar commitment to the war in Afghanistan; at the same time we are cutting back spending on important <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/03/31/defense-secretary-panetta-blasts-defense-budget-cuts-in-visit-to-ship-off/">defense</a> and <a href="http://articles.marketwatch.com/2011-02-13/economy/30682577_1_spending-cuts-bush-era-tax-cuts-obama-budget">domestic</a> programs. This level of spending is clearly unsustainable. How is Afghanistan, with domestic revenues of less than $2 billion per year, supposed to pay for security forces that cost more than $2 billion after the US leaves? They are not; we are.</p>
<p>Of course, there’s something to be said for making an explicit long-term commitment to Afghanistan. After all, the end of the US combat mission does not mean the end of our relationship with Afghanistan. However, we need a new roadmap for engagement—not just a downsized version of the current strategy, but a strategy that is effective, efficient, and sustainable.</p>
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		<title>Karzai Demands $2 Billion More Per Year From Americans for Afghanistan Security</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/19/karzai-demands-2-billion-more-per-year-from-americans-for-afghanistan-security/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Apr 2012 12:04:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The US combat role in Afghanistan will end in 2014, but it seems as if the US commitment to Afghanistan will go on. We&#8217;re starting to get some idea of how expensive that commitment will be. Afghan President Hamid Karzai is asking &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/19/karzai-demands-2-billion-more-per-year-from-americans-for-afghanistan-security/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The US combat role in Afghanistan will end in 2014, but it seems as if the US commitment to Afghanistan will go on. We&#8217;re starting to get some idea of how expensive that commitment will be.</p>
<p>Afghan President Hamid Karzai is asking for the US and NATO allies to spell out how much aid they are willing to contribute. In particular, Karzai has <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/04/17/afghan-president-us-deal-has-to-specify-cash/" target="_blank">asked for</a> the U.S. to commit to at least $2 billion per year for the Afghan Security Forces after 2014. This is in line with the $2.3 billion minimum that American officials <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/11/world/asia/afghan-force-will-be-cut-as-nato-ends-mission-in-2014.html" target="_blank">have said is under discussion</a>. Bottom line: The Afghan security forces will cost the U.S. at least $20 billion over the next ten years. Adding the $50 billion that we have already spent, and the total is $70 billion in U.S. taxpayer dollars for security forces of dubious capability.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>From ASG</strong></span><br />
<span style="font-weight: bold;">4/17/12</span><br />
<strong> <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/17/majority-of-americans-believe-the-war-is-not-worth-the-costs/">Majority of Americans Believe the War Is Not Worth the Costs</a><br />
Afghanistan Study Group by Mary Kaszynski</strong><br />
Public support for the war in Afghanistan is at an all-time low. According to a recent Washington Post poll, 66% of respondents say the war has not been worth the costs, compared to only 30% who say it has. This represents a significant change from 2007, when 56% said the war has been worth fighting, and 41% said the opposite.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">ARTICLES</span></strong><br />
<strong>4/17/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/04/17/afghan-president-us-deal-has-to-specify-cash/">Afghanistan wants firmer US commitment on funding</a><br />
Associated Press</strong><br />
Afghanistan&#8217;s president raised another condition Tuesday for a long-awaited strategic partnership with the United States: The accord must spell out the yearly U.S. commitment to pay billions of dollars for the cash-strapped Afghan security forces.</p>
<p><strong>4/16/12<br />
<a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/04/the-us-spends-14k-per-afghan-troop-per-year-but-each-earns-1-872/255934/">The U.S. Spends $14K Per Afghan Troop Per Year, But Each Earns $1,872</a><br />
Yochi Dreazen</strong><br />
A close look at U.S. military statistics shows that Afghan soldiers and police officers are far more expensive than you&#8217;d expect. They are paid an average of just $1,872 a year, but the overall cost of training and fielding a police officer is roughly $30,000 per year, while the cost of each soldier is nearly $46,000 per year. the United States bears virtually all of those costs, adding up to more than $3.5 billion a year.</p>
<p><strong>4/17/12<br />
<a href="http://www.federaltimes.com/article/20120417/ACQUISITION03/204170307/">War-zone contractors subject to more suspensions, debarments<br />
</a>Federal Times by Sarah Chacko</strong><br />
Government officials say they have gotten more aggressive in suspending and debarring companies that misbehave or perform poorly on overseas warzone contracts, such as for reconstruction and military support.</p>
<p><strong>4/12/12<br />
<a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57413052/u.s-maps-out-special-ops-heavy-afghan-war-plan/">U.S. maps out special ops-heavy Afghan war plan<br />
</a>Associated Press</strong><br />
Adm. Bill McRaven, the head of U.S. special operations, is mapping out a potential Afghanistan war plan that would replace thousands of U.S. troops with small special operations teams paired with Afghans to help an inexperienced Afghan force withstand a Taliban onslaught as U.S. troops withdraw</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">OPINION</span><br />
4/16/12<br />
<a href="http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/04/16/rashomon_in_kabul">What do the attacks in Afghanistan mean?</a><br />
Foreign Policy by Stephen Walt</strong><br />
Even a fairly rosy interpretation of the event raises questions about how well the war is ultimately going&#8230;The real question is whether trying to win is worth the cost, including the opportunity costs. Yesterday&#8217;s events may have some bearing on that larger issue, but do not provide a definitive answer one way or the other. It is good news that the Taliban attacks mostly failed, but by itself, that news does not tell you that &#8220;staying the course&#8221; is the right thing to do.</p>
<p><strong>4/17/12<br />
<a href="http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175530/tomgram%3A_dilip_hiro%2C_how_to_trump_a_superpower/#more">Taking Uncle Sam for a Ride: How Pakistan Makes Washington Pay for the Afghan War<br />
</a>TomDispatch by Dilip Hiro</strong><br />
As your planet-wide activities become ever more diverse, frenzied, and even contradictory, you expose yourself to exploitation by lesser powers otherwise seemingly tied to your apron strings.<br />
Pakistan, twice during America’s 33-year-long involvement in Afghanistan made a frontline state, is a classic example of that.  Current policymakers in Washington should take note: it&#8217;s a strategy for disaster.</p>
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		<title>Majority of Americans Believe the War Is Not Worth the Costs</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/17/majority-of-americans-believe-the-war-is-not-worth-the-costs/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2012 12:54:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/?p=2842</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Taliban launched a series of attacks yesterday on embassies and the Afghan Parliament in Kabul. The offensive is reportedly “among the most audacious coordinated terrorist attacks here in recent years,” yet US officials say they are determined to stay &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/17/majority-of-americans-believe-the-war-is-not-worth-the-costs/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.3804713760036975">The Taliban launched a series of attacks yesterday on embassies and the Afghan Parliament in Kabul. The offensive is <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/16/world/asia/attacks-near-embassies-in-kabul.html">reportedly</a> “among the most audacious coordinated terrorist attacks here in recent years,” yet US officials say they are determined to stay the course. The American public is less confident, however.</span></p>
<p>In fact, public support for the war in Afghanistan is at an all-time low. According to a recent <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_04082012.html">Washington Post poll</a>, 66% of respondents say the war has not been worth the costs, compared to only 30% who say it has. This represents a significant change from 2007, when 56% said the war has been worth fighting, and 41% said the opposite.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/poll.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2843" title="poll" src="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/poll.jpg" alt="" width="495" height="287" /></a><span id="internal-source-marker_0.3804713760036975">The downward trend is especially interesting because war costs have actually started to decrease. U.S. casualties, on the rise since 2005, <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/military/story/2012-01-02/american-troop-deaths-decline-afghanistan/52342082/1">dropped 18%</a> over the last year. The Department of Defense <a href="http://comptroller.defense.gov/defbudget/fy2013/FY2013_Budget_Request_Overview_Book.pdf">request</a> for next year’s war costs, $88.5 billion, is a 26% decrease from last year.</span></p>
<p>Still, we are spending too much in Afghanistan, and getting too little for it. The American public knows this. After spending over half a trillion dollars to win hearts and minds in Afghanistan, 62% of Americans say most Afghans oppose what the U.S. is trying to do in Afghanistan.</p>
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		<title>Afghanistan Weekly Reader: Over $4 Billion per Year for the Afghan Security Forces</title>
		<link>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/12/afghanistan-weekly-reader-over-4-billion-per-year-for-the-afghan-security-forces/</link>
		<comments>http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/12/afghanistan-weekly-reader-over-4-billion-per-year-for-the-afghan-security-forces/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2012 12:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The recent spate of violence in Afghanistan &#8211; two NATO servicemembers died just yesterday in two bomb explosions and an insurgent attack &#8211; have everyone wondering if the Afghan security forces are up to the task ahead. Just a few &#8230; <a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/12/afghanistan-weekly-reader-over-4-billion-per-year-for-the-afghan-security-forces/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="internal-source-marker_0.588631366379559">The recent spate of violence in Afghanistan &#8211; two NATO servicemembers died<a href="http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,2111702,00.html"> just yesterday</a> in two bomb explosions and an insurgent attack &#8211; have everyone wondering if the Afghan security forces are up to the task ahead. Just a few weeks ago, Lt. Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti, the deputy commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan, estimated that<a href="http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/08/afghan-forces-in-lead-but-not-in-control/"> only about 1%</a> of Afghan units can operate independently.</span></p>
<p>The US has spent over $50 billion training and equipping the Afghan National Security Forces since 2001. A recently announced cut in force size will lower future costs. But the US and allies can still expect to pay billions for Afghan security well into the future. Anticipated costs: a total of<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-11/afghans-appeal-to-panetta-for-security-to-top-cost-of-support.html"> more than $40 billion</a> over the next ten years.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">From ASG</span></strong><br />
<strong>4/10/12</strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.afghanistanstudygroup.org/2012/04/10/300-million-taxpayer-dollars-for-a-broken-power-plant/">$300 Million Taxpayer Dollars For A Broken Power Plant</a></strong><br />
<strong> Afghanistan Study Group by Mary Kaszynski</strong><br />
Boondoggles like the Kabul Power Plant are a sign of where the U.S. strategy Afghanistan went wrong. Surely we could have used those funds for United States infrastructure projects.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">ARTICLES</span></strong><br />
<strong> May/June 2012<br />
<a href="http://the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=1232"> When America Leaves: Asia after the Afghan War</a><br />
The American Interest by Rajan Menon</strong><br />
The United States retains various means to help Afghans and shape competition in Afghanistan. Hence post-American Afghanistan need not become non-American Afghanistan. Yet the United States cannot determine how the states of Greater Central Asia conduct themselves in the competition to shape Afghanistan: it will be but one player among many—and a distant one at that.</p>
<p><strong>4/7/12<br />
<a href="http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-07/news/31305459_1_afghan-security-forces-afghan-president-lynch">Lynch reverses field on Afghan mission</a><br />
The Boston Globe by Bryan Bender</strong><br />
Lynch, frustrated by a lack of progress, is now breaking with the Obama administrationand calling on the president to speed up American withdrawal from Afghanistan by at least a year.</p>
<p><strong>4/11/12<br />
<a href="http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/04/broke-afghans-military/"> Broke Afghans Will Cut Their Military — And Obama’s War Plan</a><br />
Wired by Spencer Ackerman</strong><br />
The U.S. will still provide <em>some</em> funding for the Afghans it will continue to train after 2014. But if the U.S. isn’t going to pay for a super-sized Afghan security force, then the cash-strapped NATO allies, who are even wearier of the Afghanistan war than the U.S. is, definitely won’t&#8230;But the looming cuts pose a deeper question: why did the U.S. spend billions of dollars building the Afghan soldiers and cops to an unsustainable size?</p>
<p><strong><span><span style="text-decoration: underline;">OPINION</span></span></strong><br />
<strong><span><strong>4/10/12</strong></span><br />
<a href="http://shadow.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/04/10/5_steps_to_better_politics_in_afghanistan">5 steps to better politics in Afghanistan</a><br />
Foreign Policy by Paul Miller</strong><br />
The United States and United Nations should work with the Afghans instead to push for a grand political bargain that could actually make a difference in the counterinsurgency against the Taliban: a new Loya Jirga to amend the constitution, devolve power, adjust the electoral calendar, change the voting system, and invite the Taliban to form a political party.</p>
<p><strong>4/4/12<br />
<a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0412/74845.html">Time to let Hamid Karzai kick us out of Afghanistan</a><br />
Politico by Lawrence Korb</strong><br />
We have achieved our primary objectives of killing Osama bin Laden and decimating the leadership of Al Qaeda. No matter how long we stay, we cannot control the future of Afghanistan.</p>
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